Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 2.257728 2.612407 3.002000 3.461350 3.987802 4.571972 5.269043
2025-02-16 1.691578 2.137998 2.670420 3.350940 4.196387 5.210917 6.519542
2025-02-23 1.280656 1.750598 2.353366 3.180464 4.283017 5.699086 7.652654
2025-03-02 0.979290 1.437331 2.064773 2.982499 4.285446 6.063137 8.665990
2025-03-09 0.812620 1.271769 1.939051 2.972476 4.524402 6.758271 10.205474
2025-03-16 0.664663 1.104170 1.778891 2.880457 4.622254 7.255259 11.517614
2025-03-23 0.602108 1.055311 1.786047 3.036574 5.106584 8.374275 13.892138
2025-03-30 0.539193 0.993826 1.761348 3.133848 5.504636 9.400418 16.240495
2025-04-06 0.471817 0.912447 1.689607 3.138543 5.744251 10.191143 18.290306
2025-04-13 0.391836 0.794373 1.535424 2.974465 5.665803 10.430409 19.421294
2025-04-20 0.359074 0.759570 1.525821 3.069127 6.058330 11.526020 22.173784
2025-04-27 0.339411 0.747096 1.555641 3.240414 6.611384 12.966621 25.707946
2025-05-04 0.307643 0.706146 1.526920 3.299217 6.967864 14.105822 28.856042
2025-05-11 0.276975 0.662472 1.486418 3.328645 7.270462 15.178588 32.007088
2025-05-18 0.240277 0.599019 1.394843 3.237402 7.312549 15.741608 34.209750
2025-05-25 0.204135 0.530305 1.281041 3.080217 7.191288 15.953652 35.709395
2025-06-01 0.184914 0.498944 1.246651 3.096167 7.450168 16.987810 39.059085
2025-06-08 0.162166 0.454670 1.175336 3.015628 7.479508 17.529478 41.399723
2025-06-15 0.156380 0.453477 1.207733 3.188213 8.119279 19.489194 47.112694
2025-06-22 0.147466 0.442309 1.213607 3.295906 8.617031 21.180577 52.396718
2025-06-29 0.134651 0.418004 1.182176 3.304244 8.871616 22.335095 56.553028
2025-07-06 0.115668 0.372432 1.087616 3.133760 8.653065 22.340936 57.966427
2025-07-13 0.109626 0.364289 1.093624 3.234447 9.148323 24.134567 63.940275